Conditionals, Paradox, and Probability Conditionals, Paradox, and Probability Themes from the Philosophy of Dorothy Edgington   Lee Walters and John Hawthorne 1 3 GreatClarendonStreet,Oxford,, UnitedKingdom OxfordUniversityPressisadepartmentoftheUniversityofOxford. ItfurtherstheUniversity’sobjectiveofexcellenceinresearch,scholarship, andeducationbypublishingworldwide.Oxfordisaregisteredtrademarkof OxfordUniversityPressintheUKandincertainothercountries ©theseveralcontributors Themoralrightsoftheauthorshavebeenasserted FirstEditionpublishedin Impression: Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedin aretrievalsystem,ortransmitted,inanyformorbyanymeans,withoutthe priorpermissioninwritingofOxfordUniversityPress,orasexpresslypermitted bylaw,bylicenceorundertermsagreedwiththeappropriatereprographics rightsorganization.Enquiriesconcerningreproductionoutsidethescopeofthe aboveshouldbesenttotheRightsDepartment,OxfordUniversityPress,atthe addressabove Youmustnotcirculatethisworkinanyotherform andyoumustimposethissameconditiononanyacquirer PublishedintheUnitedStatesofAmericabyOxfordUniversityPress MadisonAvenue,NewYork,NY,UnitedStatesofAmerica BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationData Dataavailable LibraryofCongressControlNumber: ISBN–––– PrintedandboundintheUKby TJBooksLimited LinkstothirdpartywebsitesareprovidedbyOxfordingoodfaithand forinformationonly.Oxforddisclaimsanyresponsibilityforthematerials containedinanythirdpartywebsitereferencedinthiswork. Contents ListofTables vii ListofContributors ix . Introduction  LeeWalters . PhilosophyandMe  DorothyEdgington . ANoteonConditionalsandRestrictors  DanielRothschild . ChasingHook:QuantifiedIndicativeConditionals  AngelikaKratzer . NewParadigmPsychologyofConditionalReasoningandIts PhilosophicalSources  DavidOver . CounterfactualstotheRescue  CleoCondoravdi . CounterfactualsandProbability  RobertStalnaker . GrammarMatters  SabineIatridou . ConstructingtheImpossible  KitFine . TheEpistemicUseof‘Ought’  JohnHawthorne . UndercuttingDefeatandEdgington’sBurglar  ScottSturgeon . EdgingtononPossibleKnowledgeofUnknownTruth  TimothyWilliamson . Prefaces,Sorites,andGuidestoReasoning  RosannaKeefe . HysteresisHypotheses  AlanHájek . VeritiesandTruth-values  NicholasK.Jones BibliographyofworksbyDorothyEdgington  IndexofNames  IndexofTopics  List of Tables .. The‘defective’,(cid:1)deFinettitableforifpthenq  .. The(cid:1)generaldeFinettitableforifpthenq  .. TheJeffreytableforifpthenq  List of Contributors CCisProfessorofLinguisticsatStanfordUniversity. DEisWaynfleteProfessorofMetaphysicalPhilosophyEmeritus attheUniversityofOxford. KFisUniversityProfessorandSilverProfessorofPhilosophyandMathematics at New York University, and Distinguished Research Professor at the University of Birmingham. AH´isProfessorofPhilosophyattheAustralianNationalUniversity. J H is Professor of Philosophy at the University of Southern California. S I is Professor of Linguistics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. NK.JisOfficialFellowofStJohn’sCollegeandAssociateProfessorof PhilosophyattheUniversityofOxford. RKisProfessorofPhilosophyattheUniversityofSheffield. A K is Professor Emerita of Linguistics at the University of MassachusettsAmherst. DOisEmeritusProfessorofPsychologyatDurhamUniversity. DRisProfessorofPhilosophyatUniversityCollegeLondon. R S is Professor Emeritus of Philosophy at the Massachusetts InstituteofTechnology. SSisProfessorofPhilosophyattheUniversityofBirmingham. LWisAssociateProfessorofPhilosophyattheUniversityofSouthampton. TWisWykehamProfessorofLogicattheUniversityofOxford.